Was March the top of this cycle, or a pause before the next leg?

Junior mining's financing taps reopened this year. The real question is whether they stay open.

Start with the three-year arc. 2023 and 2024 were flat — around US$17bn raised each year at the sub-$100m end of the market. 2025 turned hard: US$29.9bn, up 65%. And H1 2026 alone did US$18bn, more than either full plateau year.

Bar chart of capital raised in sub-US$100m mining deals by year: 2023 US$17.2bn, 2024 US$17.3bn, 2025 US$29.9bn, and H1 2026 US$18.0bn, with a dashed illustrative full-year run-rate of about US$36bn. A callout notes H1 2026 hit US$18.0bn but monthly volumes peaked in March and have fallen since.
Capital raised in sub-$100m mining deals, by year (US$bn). Source: Pulse Intelligence, company announcements.

But look at the shape of it. Monthly volumes peaked in March and have fallen every month since — 514 companies raising that month, down to 317 in July. Roughly 38% off the peak in four months. H1's headline number was front-loaded into the first quarter, not building through it.

Column chart of companies announcing an equity raise per month in 2026: January 473, February 467, March 514 (the peak), April 461, May 420, June 368, July 317 — a fall of about 38% from the March peak over four straight months.
Companies announcing an equity raise, per month (2026). Down ~38% from the March peak. Source: Pulse Intelligence, company announcements.

Underneath the totals, the cheques got bigger. The median raise in H1 2026 was US$2.64m, up 76% on the same period last year. Fewer names writing bigger cheques looks like a flight to quality rather than a broad reopening.

The median sub-US$100m raise in H1 2026 was US$2.64m, up 76% on H1 2025. First-half medians by year: H1 2023 US$1.78m, H1 2024 US$1.49m, H1 2025 US$1.50m, H1 2026 US$2.64m.
Median sub-$100m raise, first half of each year (USD-equivalent). Source: Pulse Intelligence, company announcements.

On the arrangers: 2,757 companies raised over three years, and a handful of banks were involved in most of it.

Canaccord Genuity — Global Capital Markets is well clear with 449 client companies, then Macquarie Group, Bell Potter Securities, Euroz Hartleys Limited, and Sprott.

League table of the client companies each firm arranged a sub-US$100m raise for, 2023 to 2026 (top 20 of 50): Canaccord 449, Macquarie 245, Bell Potter 145, Euroz Hartleys 139, Sprott 132, Argonaut 121, Stifel 121, BMO 120, Red Cloud 116, Haywood 104, CPS Capital 101, Cormark 96, Morgans 85, Raymond James 75, Petra Capital 58, Paradigm 58, Shaw & Partners 53, Taylor Collison 52, PAC Partners 49 and RBC 47.
Client companies each firm arranged a sub-$100m raise for, 2023–26 (top 20 of 50). Arranger role = lead, joint, co-manager, bookrunner, underwriter or placing agent. Source: Pulse Intelligence, company announcements.

You can only catch a turn like this if you're reading it live, off the RNS and exchange feeds, not waiting on a quarterly refresh.

So: was March the top of this cycle, or a pause before the next leg?

All figures are sub-$100m raises (USD-equivalent). Arranger counts are distinct client companies where the firm is named in any billed role — lead, joint, co-manager, bookrunner, underwriter or placing agent — so they measure involvement, not sole-lead mandates. Source: Pulse Intelligence, company announcements.

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