CMOC mined 65,305 tonnes of cobalt in the first half. It sold 5,727.

That is 8.8% of production. The rest went to stock, which closed the half at 168,397 tonnes of contained cobalt, up 54.75% since December.

Bar chart of CMOC's H1 2026 sales as a share of production across its seven mined products: niobium 104.3%, molybdenum 99.9%, phosphate 98.6%, gold 97.1%, copper 97.0%, tungsten 73.7%, and cobalt 8.8%. A callout notes only cobalt ships to a government quota, with 168,397 tonnes now in stock waiting on a permit.

Read the rest of the same table, and that number stops looking like an operating failure.

Niobium: sold 104.3% of what it produced, drawing stock down. Molybdenum: 99.9%. Phosphate: 98.6%. Gold: 97.1%. Copper: 97.0%. Tungsten: 73.7%. Cobalt: 8.8%.

Five of those sit between 97% and 104%. Then tungsten steps down. Then cobalt falls off a cliff.

Cobalt is the only line in that table whose shipped volume is set by a host-government quota rather than by a mine plan. The Democratic Republic of Congo replaced its export ban with a quota system last October, and unshipped allocations were forfeited to the state at the end of June.

Cobalt revenue fell 44.87% while the cobalt price rose 94.22%.

Mine planning has always answered to grade, strip ratio and recovery. For a lengthening list of commodities, it now also answers to an export licence issued by someone with entirely different objectives.

That variable does not sit in any of the usual fields.

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